Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Perugia
27.7%
Draw
19.4%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Perugia
vs
0.86
Bari
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).