Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Sociedad
23.5%
Draw
21.9%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Sociedad
vs
1.09
Girona
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).