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13 Dec 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.4%
Torino
27.0%
Draw
23.6%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Torino

vs
0.86

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).