Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Hull
27.0%
Draw
43.1%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Hull
vs
1.54
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).