Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Leverkusen
19.5%
Draw
12.1%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Leverkusen
vs
0.84
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.2%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).