Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Lecce
28.9%
Draw
42.3%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Lecce
vs
1.19
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).