Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.7%
Hertford Town
18.2%
Draw
14.1%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Hertford Town
vs
0.89
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).