Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Venezia
28.3%
Draw
38.4%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Venezia
vs
1.17
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).