Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Alloa
23.9%
Draw
55.0%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Alloa
vs
2.08
Ayr
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.5%
1-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).