Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
QPR
25.1%
Draw
45.2%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
QPR
vs
1.72
Southampton
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).