Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.7%
Parma
18.1%
Draw
10.1%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Parma
vs
0.82
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).