Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Livingston
27.7%
Draw
26.1%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Livingston
vs
1.05
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).