Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Belenenses
28.1%
Draw
34.1%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Belenenses
vs
1.05
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.5%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).