Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Modena
31.0%
Draw
31.4%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Modena
vs
1.08
Pisa
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).