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13 Sept 2025 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.2%
Korona Kielce
29.4%
Draw
28.4%
Pogoń Szczecin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Korona Kielce

vs
1.06

Pogoń Szczecin

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).