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29 Nov 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.9%
Mallorca
27.9%
Draw
36.1%
Osasuna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Mallorca

vs
1.22

Osasuna

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).