Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Werder Bremen
22.9%
Draw
53.4%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Werder Bremen
vs
2.02
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
6.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).