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08 Feb 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
Hajduk Split
29.2%
Draw
18.4%
Varaždin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Hajduk Split

vs
0.79

Varaždin

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).