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HHT: 21CSV

11 May 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.5%
Chesterfield
19.1%
Draw
14.4%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

2.42

Chesterfield

vs
1.07

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS60.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).