Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Sp Gijon
29.4%
Draw
31.0%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Sp Gijon
vs
0.97
Burgos
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).