Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Arouca
22.1%
Draw
28.1%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Arouca
vs
1.30
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).