Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Burton
26.0%
Draw
42.6%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Burton
vs
1.26
Bolton
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).