Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Jagiellonia Białystok
29.0%
Draw
31.2%
Raków Częstochowa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
1.17
Raków Częstochowa
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).