Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Port Vale
26.9%
Draw
11.7%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Port Vale
vs
0.43
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS25.9%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.9%
0-0
15.9%
2-0
15.7%
1-1
9.4%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-0
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
0-2
1.5%
2-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).