Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.4%
Plymouth
14.2%
Draw
79.4%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Plymouth
vs
2.71
Leeds
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-3
11.1%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-1
6.8%
1-4
5.2%
0-5
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
1-5
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).