Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Toulouse
25.1%
Draw
30.5%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Toulouse
vs
1.18
Lille
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).