Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Bournemouth
24.0%
Draw
21.3%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Bournemouth
vs
1.22
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
6.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).