Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Werder Bremen
26.0%
Draw
22.8%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Werder Bremen
vs
1.05
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).