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25 Nov 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.1%
West Brom
25.6%
Draw
54.3%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

West Brom

vs
1.71

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
5.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).