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DHT: 10CSV

14 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.1%
Coventry
26.2%
Draw
41.7%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Coventry

vs
1.23

Charlton

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).