Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Guingamp
24.7%
Draw
31.6%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Guingamp
vs
1.12
Lens
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).