Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.1%
Cambridge
17.1%
Draw
9.8%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Cambridge
vs
0.63
Newport County
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
13.6%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.6%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).