Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Mirandes
26.6%
Draw
51.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Mirandes
vs
1.44
Elche
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
10.6%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).