Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Lecce
31.5%
Draw
35.2%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Lecce
vs
0.96
Brescia
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.0%
0-1
14.8%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).