Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Valencia
26.8%
Draw
34.8%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Valencia
vs
1.27
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).