Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Dover Athletic
29.9%
Draw
42.7%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Dover Athletic
vs
1.32
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).