Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Aston Villa
26.9%
Draw
15.6%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Aston Villa
vs
0.79
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-0
12.0%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).