Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Tenerife
30.3%
Draw
29.0%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Tenerife
vs
0.89
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).