Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Rochdale
25.8%
Draw
42.7%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Rochdale
vs
1.28
Charlton
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).