Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Como
29.2%
Draw
18.1%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Como
vs
0.75
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).