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04 Oct 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.7%
Oostende
26.4%
Draw
38.9%
Mouscron

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Oostende

vs
1.47

Mouscron

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).