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AHT: 02CSV

21 Dec 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.9%
Raith Rvs
25.4%
Draw
25.7%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Raith Rvs

vs
1.18

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).