Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Preston
32.8%
Draw
37.7%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Preston
vs
1.09
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).