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24 Aug 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.4%
Saint-Étienne
25.9%
Draw
33.7%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Saint-Étienne

vs
1.21

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).