Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Caen
23.2%
Draw
56.7%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Caen
vs
1.59
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).