Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.4%
Niort
13.5%
Draw
78.1%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Niort
vs
2.53
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.9%
0-3
10.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
6.9%
1-1
6.4%
1-4
4.7%
0-5
3.5%
0-0
3.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).