Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Alaves
25.4%
Draw
16.9%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Alaves
vs
0.74
Granada
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).