Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.4%
Leeds
16.4%
Draw
8.2%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Leeds
vs
0.73
Hull
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
5-0
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).