Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Ceuta
22.7%
Draw
34.9%
Cordoba
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Ceuta
vs
1.56
Cordoba
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).