Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Elche
22.8%
Draw
50.1%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Elche
vs
1.90
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).